Win Rate
Closed Positions
Reward/Risk Ratio
Average Position Size
12 Months
Simulated Performance
SYMBOL | Strategy | Side | Effect | Qty | Expiration | Strike | Type | Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DIS
|
Call
|
Sold
|
Close
|
-1
|
Dec 27, 2019 |
140.00
|
Call
|
8.85
Credit
|
Target Metrics
Reward | Risk | R/R Ratio |
---|---|---|
$4.00 | $1.25 | 3.20 |
REALIZED RESULTS
P/L | ROI |
---|---|
+2.45 | 38.28% |
Closing this position as we are approaching the pivoting zone approx. the 149 price level, which can and should be assumed will act as resistance.
SYMBOL | Strategy | Side | Effect | Qty | Expiration | Strike | Type | Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DIS
|
Call
|
Bought
|
Open
|
+1
|
Dec 27, 2019 |
140.00
|
Call
|
6.40
Debit
|
Target Metrics
Reward | Risk | R/R Ratio |
---|---|---|
$4.00 | $1.25 | 3.20 |
ACTUAL PARAMETERS
Reward | Risk | Trade Risk |
---|---|---|
$0.00 | $6.40 | 4.00% |
DIS has come into its multi-year auction zone that should hold as support. Price likely clusters here and then moves back up towards the 150, and then the 155-160 price levels over the coming weeks/months.
LOSS MANAGEMENT PLAN
I will look to close this position if it appears that DIS is closing below the 145 price level on the weekly timeframe. Here's my chart: http://tos.mx/O1596eq
PROFIT MANAGEMENT PLAN
I will look to capture profits at approx the 150 price level.
SYMBOL | Strategy | Side | Effect | Qty | Expiration | Strike | Type | Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DIS
|
Iron Condor
|
Bought
|
Close
|
+1
|
Dec 13, 2019 |
155.00
|
Call
|
|
Sold
|
Close
|
-1
|
Dec 13, 2019 |
160.00
|
Call
|
|||
Bought
|
Close
|
+1
|
Dec 13, 2019 |
150.00
|
Put
|
|||
Sold
|
Close
|
-1
|
Dec 13, 2019 |
145.00
|
Put
|
2.28
Debit
|
Target Metrics
Reward | Risk | R/R Ratio |
---|---|---|
$1.15 | $1.00 | 1.15 |
REALIZED RESULTS
P/L | ROI |
---|---|
-1.13 | -29.35% |
Taking a small loss on this position but was able to completely recover the loss + major profits on the long calls I added earlier in the week and just closed.
SYMBOL | Strategy | Side | Effect | Qty | Expiration | Strike | Type | Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DIS
|
Iron Condor
|
Sold
|
Open
|
-1
|
Dec 13, 2019 |
155.00
|
Call
|
|
Bought
|
Open
|
+1
|
Dec 13, 2019 |
160.00
|
Call
|
|||
Sold
|
Open
|
-1
|
Dec 13, 2019 |
150.00
|
Put
|
|||
Bought
|
Open
|
+1
|
Dec 13, 2019 |
145.00
|
Put
|
1.15
Credit
|
Target Metrics
Reward | Risk | R/R Ratio |
---|---|---|
$1.15 | $1.00 | 1.15 |
ACTUAL PARAMETERS
Reward | Risk | Trade Risk |
---|---|---|
$1.15 | $3.85 | 3.00% |
ADJUSTMENT UPDATE 12/6/2019 @ 1:36 PM ET: I'm adjusting this position once again as I see DIS still likely to settle in between the 150 and 155 price levels over the next couple of weeks. I was able to roll both sides of the Iron Condor for a credit. The 150/145 Vertical Put Credit Spread (Bull Put) for 0.51 and the 155/160 Vertical Call Credit Spread (Bear Call) for a tiny 0.05 for a total of 0.56 additional credit bringing my net credit up to 1.15. Please see the connected chart and note that the stock will still likely extend up to approx the 155 price level before any dip should continue lower below the 147 price level. ADJUSTMENT UPDATE 11/27/2019 @ 12:57 PM ET: I discussed this adjustment in our group meeting on 11/26 which can be viewed by clicking on this link: https://thesupertrader.com/pos-11-26-2019/ I rolled my 150/155 bear call up in strikes to the 155/160 and out in time to the Dec 6 expiration. This was done for a 1.36 debit. As I had originally brought in 1.11 of credit this gives me a net debit of 0.25. I then added the 150/145 bull put for 0.84 of credit in the same expiration, Dec 6. This gives me an iron condor with a net credit of 0.59.
LOSS MANAGEMENT PLAN
I will look to close or otherwise adjust this position if it appears like we will be closing above the 155 or below the 150 price levels before this position expires.
PROFIT MANAGEMENT PLAN
I will likely just let this position expire worthless.
SYMBOL | Strategy | Side | Effect | Qty | Expiration | Strike | Type | Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MA
|
Bull Put
|
Bought
|
Close
|
+1
|
Dec 13, 2019 |
290.00
|
Put
|
|
Sold
|
Close
|
-1
|
Dec 13, 2019 |
285.00
|
Put
|
0.67
Debit
|
Target Metrics
Reward | Risk | R/R Ratio |
---|---|---|
$1.23 | $1.00 | 1.23 |
REALIZED RESULTS
P/L | ROI |
---|---|
+0.56 | 14.85% |
I'm closing this position down with the overall market coming into a resistance zone and MA also hitting an auction resistance zone.
SYMBOL | Strategy | Side | Effect | Qty | Expiration | Strike | Type | Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MA
|
Bull Put
|
Sold
|
Open
|
-1
|
Dec 13, 2019 |
290.00
|
Put
|
|
Bought
|
Open
|
+1
|
Dec 13, 2019 |
285.00
|
Put
|
1.23
Credit
|
Target Metrics
Reward | Risk | R/R Ratio |
---|---|---|
$1.23 | $1.00 | 1.23 |
ACTUAL PARAMETERS
Reward | Risk | Trade Risk |
---|---|---|
$1.23 | $3.77 | 4.00% |
ADJUSTMENT UPDATE 12/6/2019 @ 2:05 PM ET: I went ahead and closed the 295/300 bear call side of this position as we are setting up to move up to approx. the 296.50 - 300 price level. This was done for an 0.89 debit which put my net position at a 0.16 debit. I then increased my position size in my 290/285 bull put from 5 contracts to 10. The additional 5 contracts gave me 1.39 credit minus the current 0.16 debit I have on the first 5 contracts, which leaves me with a net credit of 1.23. ADJUSTMENT UPDATE 11/27/2019 @ 12:45 PM ET: I discussed my plans for adjusting my position in MA in our group meeting on 11/26 which can be accessed by clicking on this link: https://thesupertrader.com/pos-11-26-2019/ I went ahead and rolled my 287.50/292.50 bear call up in strikes to the 295/300 and out in time to the Dec 13 expiration, this cost me 1.95 debit, with an original 1.15 of credit this leave me with a net debit of 0.80. I then opened a bull put at the 290/285.00 price level for a credit of 1.53 which gives me a net credit on between the two positions of 0.73.
LOSS MANAGEMENT PLAN
I will likely look to further manage this position if we appear to be closing below the 289.25 price level
PROFIT MANAGEMENT PLAN
I will likely allow this position to expire worthless.
SYMBOL | Strategy | Side | Effect | Qty | Expiration | Strike | Type | Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SPX
|
Bull Put
|
Bought
|
Close
|
+1
|
Dec 6, 2019 |
3120.00
|
Put
|
|
Sold
|
Close
|
-1
|
Dec 6, 2019 |
3115.00
|
Put
|
0.00
Debit
|
Target Metrics
Reward | Risk | R/R Ratio |
---|---|---|
$1.70 | $0.70 | 2.43 |
REALIZED RESULTS
P/L | ROI |
---|---|
+1.70 | 51.52% |
Expired 100% profitable. Although wasn't without being challenged first. We ended up getting together as a group on Tues (12/3) when we chasmed way below our exit to discuss what we should do. After thorough analysis, we decided the position should be held as it was highly probable that the market would recover quickly. You can listen to the recording of that group meeting here: https://thesupertrader.com/pr-12-3-2019/
SYMBOL | Strategy | Side | Effect | Qty | Expiration | Strike | Type | Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SPX
|
Bull Put
|
Sold
|
Open
|
-1
|
Dec 6, 2019 |
3120.00
|
Put
|
|
Bought
|
Open
|
+1
|
Dec 6, 2019 |
3115.00
|
Put
|
1.70
Credit
|
Target Metrics
Reward | Risk | R/R Ratio |
---|---|---|
$1.70 | $0.70 | 2.43 |
ACTUAL PARAMETERS
Reward | Risk | Trade Risk |
---|---|---|
$1.70 | $3.30 | 6.00% |
SPX has just confirmed that it intends to hold auction support still and will likely continue to extend up to approx. 3170.
LOSS MANAGEMENT PLAN
I will look to close this position if it appears we are going to close below the asc. auction support zone as seen by the green lines on the chart connected to this position: http://tos.mx/FrScH3k
PROFIT MANAGEMENT PLAN
I will likely allow this position to expire worthless.
SYMBOL | Strategy | Side | Effect | Qty | Expiration | Strike | Type | Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MA
|
Bull Put
|
Bought
|
Close
|
+1
|
Dec 6, 2019 |
285.00
|
Put
|
|
Sold
|
Close
|
-1
|
Dec 6, 2019 |
280.00
|
Put
|
0.87
Debit
|
Target Metrics
Reward | Risk | R/R Ratio |
---|---|---|
$1.70 | $1.20 | 1.42 |
REALIZED RESULTS
P/L | ROI |
---|---|
+0.83 | 25.15% |
With this position expiring this Friday and the stock breaking lower, below my short put strike, to the secondary support yesterday (12/4), I'm closing this position down due to the medium probability that we explore the secondary supporting zone again before this Friday which puts my short puts in the money and in the red.
SYMBOL | Strategy | Side | Effect | Qty | Expiration | Strike | Type | Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MA
|
Bull Put
|
Sold
|
Open
|
-1
|
Dec 6, 2019 |
285.00
|
Put
|
|
Bought
|
Open
|
+1
|
Dec 6, 2019 |
280.00
|
Put
|
1.70
Credit
|
Target Metrics
Reward | Risk | R/R Ratio |
---|---|---|
$1.70 | $1.20 | 1.42 |
ACTUAL PARAMETERS
Reward | Risk | Trade Risk |
---|---|---|
$1.70 | $3.30 | 2.00% |
MA just retraced into a prior resistance zone that I expect should hold as temporary support over the next 1-2 weeks.
LOSS MANAGEMENT PLAN
I will look to roll this position out to Dec. 20 expiration if we break below the intra-day low from 12/2 (283.89). I would look to close/adjust this position if the stock appears to be closing below the 281.50 price level.
PROFIT MANAGEMENT PLAN
I would look to let this position expire worthless unless we continue to cluster within +/-2.50 from my short put strike, I will close the position early and capture any theta value I have realized.
SYMBOL | Strategy | Side | Effect | Qty | Expiration | Strike | Type | Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
JNJ
|
Call
|
Sold
|
Close
|
-1
|
Dec 13, 2019 |
130.00
|
Call
|
9.15
Credit
|
Target Metrics
Reward | Risk | R/R Ratio |
---|---|---|
$2.70 | $0.80 | 3.38 |
REALIZED RESULTS
P/L | ROI |
---|---|
+1.85 | 25.34% |
Worked exactly as expected and hit initial target this morning. Taking this position off for now and will reconsider another in JNJ in the near future.
SYMBOL | Strategy | Side | Effect | Qty | Expiration | Strike | Type | Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
JNJ
|
Call
|
Bought
|
Open
|
+1
|
Dec 13, 2019 |
130.00
|
Call
|
7.30
Debit
|
Target Metrics
Reward | Risk | R/R Ratio |
---|---|---|
$2.70 | $0.80 | 3.38 |
ACTUAL PARAMETERS
Reward | Risk | Trade Risk |
---|---|---|
$0.00 | $7.30 | 3.00% |
I expect that JNJ will have an extension of its current clustering zone up to approx. 140-141 price level. It should hold above the 146.50 price level until that extension occurs.
LOSS MANAGEMENT PLAN
I will look to close this position if it appears that we are going to close below the 146.50 price level
PROFIT MANAGEMENT PLAN
I will look to capture profits at around the 140 price level. I may need to capture profits at around the top asc. red line (approx. 138.50-138.75)
SYMBOL | Strategy | Side | Effect | Qty | Expiration | Strike | Type | Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MA
|
Bear Call
|
Bought
|
Close
|
+1
|
Dec 6, 2019 |
287.50
|
Call
|
|
Sold
|
Close
|
-1
|
Dec 6, 2019 |
292.50
|
Call
|
1.62
Debit
|
Target Metrics
Reward | Risk | R/R Ratio |
---|---|---|
$2.15 | $0.25 | 8.60 |
REALIZED RESULTS
P/L | ROI |
---|---|
+0.53 | 18.60% |
MA broke above the resistance zone that was identified and moved up to a secondary level. I'm expecting prior resistance to act as temporary support and am closing this position.
SYMBOL | Strategy | Side | Effect | Qty | Expiration | Strike | Type | Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MA
|
Bear Call
|
Sold
|
Open
|
-1
|
Dec 6, 2019 |
287.50
|
Call
|
|
Bought
|
Open
|
+1
|
Dec 6, 2019 |
292.50
|
Call
|
2.15
Credit
|
Target Metrics
Reward | Risk | R/R Ratio |
---|---|---|
$2.15 | $0.25 | 8.60 |
ACTUAL PARAMETERS
Reward | Risk | Trade Risk |
---|---|---|
$2.15 | $2.85 | 3.00% |
MA should continue to cluster at the resistance zone as seen on the chart that is attached to this position
LOSS MANAGEMENT PLAN
If the stock appears to be closing above the 287.50 price level I will close this position as it will likely continue to fill the gap from early in Sept 2019.
PROFIT MANAGEMENT PLAN
I will likely allow this position to expire worthless.
SYMBOL | Strategy | Side | Effect | Qty | Expiration | Strike | Type | Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HD
|
Bull Put
|
Bought
|
Close
|
+1
|
Dec 6, 2019 |
217.50
|
Put
|
|
Sold
|
Close
|
-1
|
Dec 6, 2019 |
212.50
|
Put
|
1.01
Debit
|
Target Metrics
Reward | Risk | R/R Ratio |
---|---|---|
$1.10 | $0.55 | 2.00 |
REALIZED RESULTS
P/L | ROI |
---|---|
+0.89 | 28.71% |
Great setup and great trade. Closing this position down as it just came into an auction resistance zone and there is a good probability it fades back down to my short put strike before expiration.
SYMBOL | Strategy | Side | Effect | Qty | Expiration | Strike | Type | Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HD
|
Bull Put
|
Sold
|
Open
|
-1
|
Dec 6, 2019 |
217.50
|
Put
|
|
Bought
|
Open
|
+1
|
Dec 6, 2019 |
212.50
|
Put
|
1.90
Credit
|
Target Metrics
Reward | Risk | R/R Ratio |
---|---|---|
$1.10 | $0.55 | 2.00 |
ACTUAL PARAMETERS
Reward | Risk | Trade Risk |
---|---|---|
$1.90 | $3.10 | 2.00% |
HD completely disregarded an auction zone that the stock has previous found resistance on and it should have found temporary support. We just came into a secondary auction area and I expect the stock to retrace higher into the auction resistance as seen by the red lines on the chart that is connected to this position.
LOSS MANAGEMENT PLAN
I would look to close this position if the stock appears to be closing below the 216 price level.
PROFIT MANAGEMENT PLAN
I will look to capture profits of around 1.10 at around the resistance zone as seen by the red line on the connected chart (approx. 222-225 price level).
SYMBOL | Strategy | Side | Effect | Qty | Expiration | Strike | Type | Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SPX
|
Bear Call
|
Bought
|
Close
|
+1
|
Nov 22, 2019 |
3105.00
|
Call
|
|
Sold
|
Close
|
-1
|
Nov 22, 2019 |
3110.00
|
Call
|
5.00
Debit
|
Target Metrics
Reward | Risk | R/R Ratio |
---|---|---|
$7.70 | $-2.70 | -2.85 |
REALIZED RESULTS
P/L | ROI |
---|---|
+2.70 | -100.00% |
Closed with 2.70 profits as we expired at 3110.68. Love risk free positions.
SYMBOL | Strategy | Side | Effect | Qty | Expiration | Strike | Type | Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SPX
|
Bear Call
|
Sold
|
Open
|
-1
|
Nov 22, 2019 |
3105.00
|
Call
|
|
Bought
|
Open
|
+1
|
Nov 22, 2019 |
3110.00
|
Call
|
7.70
Credit
|
Target Metrics
Reward | Risk | R/R Ratio |
---|---|---|
$7.70 | $-2.70 | -2.85 |
ACTUAL PARAMETERS
Reward | Risk | Trade Risk |
---|---|---|
$7.70 | $-2.70 | 5.00% |
I expect the SPX to extend up to approx. 3108-3110 over the next 1-2 days. As such I will cover this position by selling to open the short calls at the 3105 strike for a credit that is equal to the debit of these long calls + an additional $5 to cover the risk of the bear call spread.
LOSS MANAGEMENT PLAN
Risk Free :-)
PROFIT MANAGEMENT PLAN
Risk Free :-)
SYMBOL | Strategy | Side | Effect | Qty | Expiration | Strike | Type | Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SPX
|
Bear Put
|
Sold
|
Close
|
-1
|
Nov 15, 2019 |
3095.00
|
Put
|
|
Bought
|
Close
|
+1
|
Nov 15, 2019 |
3090.00
|
Put
|
0.00
Debit
|
Target Metrics
Reward | Risk | R/R Ratio |
---|---|---|
$5.20 | $-0.20 | -26.00 |
REALIZED RESULTS
P/L | ROI |
---|---|
+0.20 | -100.00% |
Expired for minimum profit as this was a risk free position.
SYMBOL | Strategy | Side | Effect | Qty | Expiration | Strike | Type | Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SPX
|
Bear Put
|
Bought
|
Open
|
+1
|
Nov 15, 2019 |
3095.00
|
Put
|
|
Sold
|
Open
|
-1
|
Nov 15, 2019 |
3090.00
|
Put
|
-0.20
Credit
|
Target Metrics
Reward | Risk | R/R Ratio |
---|---|---|
$5.20 | $-0.20 | -26.00 |
ACTUAL PARAMETERS
Reward | Risk | Trade Risk |
---|---|---|
$5.20 | $-0.20 | 5.00% |
As discussed in the 360 Review this past Friday (11/1) I would be looking to structure an 'AlphaX' style trade when we approach a longer term auction zone which we've done this morning. I will be selling to open the 3090 short puts for a credit equal to or greater than the debit of this position within the next several hours.
LOSS MANAGEMENT PLAN
Risk Free
PROFIT MANAGEMENT PLAN
Risk Free