Win Rate
Closed Positions
Reward/Risk Ratio
Average Position Size
12 Months
Simulated Performance
SYMBOL | Strategy | Side | Effect | Qty | Expiration | Strike | Type | Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SPX
|
Bear Call
|
Bought
|
Close
|
+1
|
May 15, 2020 |
2925.00
|
Call
|
|
Sold
|
Close
|
-1
|
May 15, 2020 |
2930.00
|
Call
|
0.90
Debit
|
Target Metrics
Reward | Risk | R/R Ratio |
---|---|---|
$2.70 | $2.30 | 1.17 |
REALIZED RESULTS
P/L | ROI |
---|---|
+1.80 | 78.26% |
We are likely to extend back up to the 78.6 level. Taking profits.
SYMBOL | Strategy | Side | Effect | Qty | Expiration | Strike | Type | Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SPX
|
Bear Call
|
Sold
|
Open
|
-1
|
May 15, 2020 |
2925.00
|
Call
|
|
Bought
|
Open
|
+1
|
May 15, 2020 |
2930.00
|
Call
|
2.70
Credit
|
Target Metrics
Reward | Risk | R/R Ratio |
---|---|---|
$2.70 | $2.30 | 1.17 |
ACTUAL PARAMETERS
Reward | Risk | Trade Risk |
---|---|---|
$2.70 | $2.30 | 10.00% |
I expect us to migrate down to about the 2870-2880 level by this Friday. NOTE THIS IS THE WEEKLY EXPIRATION SERIES.
LOSS MANAGEMENT PLAN
loss management is I will roll the position if we migrate up to the 2960 price level before this Thursday
PROFIT MANAGEMENT PLAN
I will let this position expire worthless
SYMBOL | Strategy | Side | Effect | Qty | Expiration | Strike | Type | Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GLD
|
Bull Put
|
Bought
|
Close
|
+1
|
May 8, 2020 |
160.00
|
Put
|
|
Sold
|
Close
|
-1
|
May 8, 2020 |
155.00
|
Put
|
1.17
Debit
|
Target Metrics
Reward | Risk | R/R Ratio |
---|---|---|
$1.32 | $1.00 | 1.32 |
REALIZED RESULTS
P/L | ROI |
---|---|
+0.15 | 4.08% |
Closing out this position as the SPX is looking like it was to fade lower, GLD will also.
SYMBOL | Strategy | Side | Effect | Qty | Expiration | Strike | Type | Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GLD
|
Bull Put
|
Sold
|
Open
|
-1
|
May 8, 2020 |
160.00
|
Put
|
|
Bought
|
Open
|
+1
|
May 8, 2020 |
155.00
|
Put
|
1.32
Credit
|
Target Metrics
Reward | Risk | R/R Ratio |
---|---|---|
$1.32 | $1.00 | 1.32 |
ACTUAL PARAMETERS
Reward | Risk | Trade Risk |
---|---|---|
$1.32 | $3.68 | 5.00% |
As discussed in the Trade Talk meeting on Monday 04/27, I expect GLD to migrate up to the 166-167 price level over the next 1-2 weeks.
LOSS MANAGEMENT PLAN
I will look to close this position down if it appears that we are going to close below the 157.50 price level
PROFIT MANAGEMENT PLAN
I will likely allow this position to expire worthless.
SYMBOL | Strategy | Side | Effect | Qty | Expiration | Strike | Type | Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WBA
|
Call
|
Sold
|
Close
|
-1
|
Jan 15, 2021 |
40.00
|
Call
|
6.10
Credit
|
Target Metrics
Reward | Risk | R/R Ratio |
---|---|---|
$6.00 | $2.00 | 3.00 |
REALIZED RESULTS
P/L | ROI |
---|---|
-1.05 | -14.69% |
Market is looking like it wants to fade lower and WBA will as well, closing this one for now.
SYMBOL | Strategy | Side | Effect | Qty | Expiration | Strike | Type | Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WBA
|
Call
|
Bought
|
Open
|
+1
|
Jan 15, 2021 |
40.00
|
Call
|
7.15
Debit
|
Target Metrics
Reward | Risk | R/R Ratio |
---|---|---|
$6.00 | $2.00 | 3.00 |
ACTUAL PARAMETERS
Reward | Risk | Trade Risk |
---|---|---|
$0.00 | $7.15 | 20.00% |
As discussed in the Zones Workshop on 4/29, I expect WBA to continue to migrate higher into the descending resistance zone (red lines) as seen in the chart I've attached to this position or by using this ThinkorSwim Shared Chart: http://tos.mx/Uf6AgzV
LOSS MANAGEMENT PLAN
I will look to close this position if it appears we are going to close below the $40 price level on the daily chart.
PROFIT MANAGEMENT PLAN
I will look to capture profits at the descending resistance zone (approx. the 60-65 price level.
SYMBOL | Strategy | Side | Effect | Qty | Expiration | Strike | Type | Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SPY
|
Call
|
Sold
|
Close
|
-1
|
Aug 21, 2020 |
282.00
|
Call
|
21.25
Credit
|
Target Metrics
Reward | Risk | R/R Ratio |
---|---|---|
$10.00 | $4.00 | 2.50 |
REALIZED RESULTS
P/L | ROI |
---|---|
+1.50 | 7.59% |
Closing out this position out of an abundance of caution just in case the market finds solid resistance at a major 50% level. (Thank you, Jim O'Neill)
SYMBOL | Strategy | Side | Effect | Qty | Expiration | Strike | Type | Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SPY
|
Call
|
Bought
|
Open
|
+1
|
Aug 21, 2020 |
282.00
|
Call
|
19.75
Debit
|
Target Metrics
Reward | Risk | R/R Ratio |
---|---|---|
$10.00 | $4.00 | 2.50 |
ACTUAL PARAMETERS
Reward | Risk | Trade Risk |
---|---|---|
$0.00 | $19.75 | 15.00% |
There is a strong possibility that the SPX continues to migrate higher over the next several weeks into the 3070 - 3200 price levels. Here's the ThinkorSwim Shared Chart: http://tos.mx/1QpgNnG
LOSS MANAGEMENT PLAN
I will look to close this position in the SPY if it appears that /ES is going to close below the 2790 price level.
PROFIT MANAGEMENT PLAN
I will look to capture profits in this position in the SPY when /ES is between the 3070 - 3200 price levels.
SYMBOL | Strategy | Side | Effect | Qty | Expiration | Strike | Type | Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SPX
|
Bull Put
|
Bought
|
Close
|
+1
|
May 6, 2020 |
2835.00
|
Put
|
|
Sold
|
Close
|
-1
|
May 6, 2020 |
2830.00
|
Put
|
1.35
Debit
|
Target Metrics
Reward | Risk | R/R Ratio |
---|---|---|
$1.85 | $1.00 | 1.85 |
REALIZED RESULTS
P/L | ROI |
---|---|
+0.55 | 17.74% |
Closing out this position out of an abundance of caution just in case the market finds solid resistance at a major 50% level. (Thank you, Jim O'Neill)
SYMBOL | Strategy | Side | Effect | Qty | Expiration | Strike | Type | Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SPX
|
Bull Put
|
Sold
|
Open
|
-1
|
May 6, 2020 |
2835.00
|
Put
|
|
Bought
|
Open
|
+1
|
May 6, 2020 |
2830.00
|
Put
|
1.90
Credit
|
Target Metrics
Reward | Risk | R/R Ratio |
---|---|---|
$1.85 | $1.00 | 1.85 |
ACTUAL PARAMETERS
Reward | Risk | Trade Risk |
---|---|---|
$1.90 | $3.10 | 8.00% |
In the interest of "Selling in May and going away", I've decided to sell to open this bull put spread as I expect that the SPX at a minimum migrates higher over the next several sessions following this wave lower that began on 04/29. Here's my ThinkorSwim Shared Chart: http://tos.mx/twGaAf9
LOSS MANAGEMENT PLAN
I will look to close this position if it appears that we are going to break and close below the 2800 level by Wed. 05/06 or if the SPX has failed to migrate at least into the 2875 price level by that same date.
PROFIT MANAGEMENT PLAN
I will likely allow this position to expire worthless.
SYMBOL | Strategy | Side | Effect | Qty | Expiration | Strike | Type | Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AMZN
|
Bear Call
|
Bought
|
Close
|
+1
|
Apr 24, 2020 |
2440.00
|
Call
|
|
Sold
|
Close
|
-1
|
Apr 24, 2020 |
2450.00
|
Call
|
0.00
Debit
|
Target Metrics
Reward | Risk | R/R Ratio |
---|---|---|
$3.85 | $2.00 | 1.93 |
REALIZED RESULTS
P/L | ROI |
---|---|
+3.85 | 62.60% |
Expired worthless. Next.
SYMBOL | Strategy | Side | Effect | Qty | Expiration | Strike | Type | Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AMZN
|
Bear Call
|
Sold
|
Open
|
-1
|
Apr 24, 2020 |
2440.00
|
Call
|
|
Bought
|
Open
|
+1
|
Apr 24, 2020 |
2450.00
|
Call
|
3.85
Credit
|
Target Metrics
Reward | Risk | R/R Ratio |
---|---|---|
$3.85 | $2.00 | 1.93 |
ACTUAL PARAMETERS
Reward | Risk | Trade Risk |
---|---|---|
$3.85 | $6.15 | 1.00% |
As discussed in Trade Talk on Monday 04/20, I expect AMZN has come into its most extreme resistance zone and will at a minimum cluster at this level and therefore hold as resistance for the next several weeks. http://tos.mx/dNKg9GZ
LOSS MANAGEMENT PLAN
I will look to close this position if it appears we are going to close above the 2440 price level
PROFIT MANAGEMENT PLAN
I will let this position expire worthless.
SYMBOL | Strategy | Side | Effect | Qty | Expiration | Strike | Type | Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NFLX
|
Bull Put
|
Bought
|
Close
|
+1
|
Apr 24, 2020 |
430.00
|
Put
|
|
Sold
|
Close
|
-1
|
Apr 24, 2020 |
425.00
|
Put
|
2.20
Debit
|
Target Metrics
Reward | Risk | R/R Ratio |
---|---|---|
$2.25 | $2.50 | 0.90 |
REALIZED RESULTS
P/L | ROI |
---|---|
+0.05 | 1.82% |
NFLX basically unchanged following earnings. I'm closing this position early as it is right on my short put strike and due to expire tomorrrow.
SYMBOL | Strategy | Side | Effect | Qty | Expiration | Strike | Type | Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NFLX
|
Bull Put
|
Sold
|
Open
|
-1
|
Apr 24, 2020 |
430.00
|
Put
|
|
Bought
|
Open
|
+1
|
Apr 24, 2020 |
425.00
|
Put
|
2.25
Credit
|
Target Metrics
Reward | Risk | R/R Ratio |
---|---|---|
$2.25 | $2.50 | 0.90 |
ACTUAL PARAMETERS
Reward | Risk | Trade Risk |
---|---|---|
$2.25 | $2.75 | 1.00% |
I expect NFLX to continue to migrate higher post earnings up into the 480-500 price levels. http://tos.mx/LsOYTO8
LOSS MANAGEMENT PLAN
As an earnings play, if this position does go against me it will likely be quite difficult to get out of the position and minimize my loss although if I am able to, I would look to get out of this position if it appears we are going to close below the 430 price level
PROFIT MANAGEMENT PLAN
I will let this position expire worthless.
SYMBOL | Strategy | Side | Effect | Qty | Expiration | Strike | Type | Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HAL
|
Call
|
Sold
|
Close
|
-1
|
Jan 15, 2021 |
5.00
|
Call
|
4.45
Credit
|
Target Metrics
Reward | Risk | R/R Ratio |
---|---|---|
$1.50 | $1.00 | 1.50 |
REALIZED RESULTS
P/L | ROI |
---|---|
+1.00 | 28.99% |
Will look to re-enter but for now stepping out of this position to let the oil market settle down.
SYMBOL | Strategy | Side | Effect | Qty | Expiration | Strike | Type | Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HAL
|
Call
|
Bought
|
Open
|
+1
|
Jan 15, 2021 |
5.00
|
Call
|
3.45
Debit
|
Target Metrics
Reward | Risk | R/R Ratio |
---|---|---|
$1.50 | $1.00 | 1.50 |
ACTUAL PARAMETERS
Reward | Risk | Trade Risk |
---|---|---|
$0.00 | $3.45 | 10.00% |
With /CL hitting my long term target of $11.00, I'm going to take a stab at a bullish position in Halliburton (HAL) which will rise if /CL migrates higher as I expect. Here's the ThinkorSwim shared chart for /CL: http://tos.mx/M9564co
LOSS MANAGEMENT PLAN
I will look to close this position in HAL if it appears we are going to close below the $11.00 price level in /CL on the weekly chart.
PROFIT MANAGEMENT PLAN
I will look to capture profits in this position in HAL when /CL has migrated up to approx. the $17.00 price level.
SYMBOL | Strategy | Side | Effect | Qty | Expiration | Strike | Type | Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SPY
|
Put
|
Sold
|
Close
|
-1
|
Jun 19, 2020 |
277.00
|
Put
|
19.78
Credit
|
Target Metrics
Reward | Risk | R/R Ratio |
---|---|---|
$20.00 | $5.00 | 4.00 |
REALIZED RESULTS
P/L | ROI |
---|---|
+3.31 | 20.10% |
Although I do expect the SPY to continue to rotate lower, I am seeing a move back up into the 280 price level where I will consider adding this position back.
SYMBOL | Strategy | Side | Effect | Qty | Expiration | Strike | Type | Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SPY
|
Put
|
Bought
|
Open
|
+1
|
Jun 19, 2020 |
277.00
|
Put
|
16.47
Debit
|
Target Metrics
Reward | Risk | R/R Ratio |
---|---|---|
$20.00 | $5.00 | 4.00 |
ACTUAL PARAMETERS
Reward | Risk | Trade Risk |
---|---|---|
$260.53 | $16.47 | 25.00% |
As discussed in the AlphaX meeting and in the Post Market Review on 4/14, I was expecting a confirmation drop in the SPX today which would cause me to execute a position to benefit from a move down to the near term auction zone in the SPY which is between 255-260.
LOSS MANAGEMENT PLAN
I will look to close this position if we migrate above the 282 price level or haven't dropped below the near term pivot which is around the 275 price level by 04/24.
PROFIT MANAGEMENT PLAN
I will look to capture profits around the 255 price level and reconsider a new position to take advantage of a further drop if it looks likely.
SYMBOL | Strategy | Side | Effect | Qty | Expiration | Strike | Type | Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SPX
|
Bear Call
|
Bought
|
Close
|
+1
|
Apr 22, 2020 |
2790.00
|
Call
|
|
Sold
|
Close
|
-1
|
Apr 22, 2020 |
2795.00
|
Call
|
1.45
Debit
|
Target Metrics
Reward | Risk | R/R Ratio |
---|---|---|
$1.10 | $1.00 | 1.10 |
REALIZED RESULTS
P/L | ROI |
---|---|
-0.35 | -8.97% |
Closing this position for a small loss as there's a good likelihood that we migrate up into the 2810 price level by tomorrow afternoon.
SYMBOL | Strategy | Side | Effect | Qty | Expiration | Strike | Type | Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SPX
|
Bear Call
|
Sold
|
Open
|
-1
|
Apr 22, 2020 |
2790.00
|
Call
|
|
Bought
|
Open
|
+1
|
Apr 22, 2020 |
2795.00
|
Call
|
1.10
Credit
|
Target Metrics
Reward | Risk | R/R Ratio |
---|---|---|
$1.10 | $1.00 | 1.10 |
ACTUAL PARAMETERS
Reward | Risk | Trade Risk |
---|---|---|
$1.10 | $3.90 | 5.00% |
ADJUSTMENT 04/17 @ 2:20 PM ET: I am rolling this position out to Wed (04/22) expiration. I was able to roll for a 1.10 debit which gives me a net credit of 1.10 as I had originally received 2.20 on this position. I'm opening this position as I expect price to migrate lower into tomorrow down to at least 2730. I will likely roll my existing bear call that has the 2710/2715 strikes but still holding that position as of 04/16 @ 1:30pm ET.
LOSS MANAGEMENT PLAN
I will look to continue to manage this position as necessary. and will discuss more specific management plans in the 360 Review on 4/17.
PROFIT MANAGEMENT PLAN
I will let this position expire worthless.