Weekly Trade Performance

Portfolio Performance
Pro Zones Trades -
 

Win Rate

Closed Positions

Reward/Risk Ratio

Average Position Size

12 Months

Simulated Performance


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SYMBOL Strategy Side Effect Qty Expiration Strike Type Price
PHX
Stock
Sold
Close
-100
N/A
2.42
Stock
2.84 Credit

Target Metrics

Reward Risk R/R Ratio
$2.42 $0.42 5.76

REALIZED RESULTS

P/L ROI
+0.42 17.36%
Reason for Closing:

The U.S. natural gas commodity trade is getting increasingly complicated. I'm closing this one for now to take advantage of some different positions that present a clearer setup in the near term. http://tos.mx/RM0aclT

SYMBOL Strategy Side Effect Qty Expiration Strike Type Price
PHX
Stock
Bought
Open
+100
N/A
2.42
Stock
2.42 Debit

Target Metrics

Reward Risk R/R Ratio
$2.42 $0.42 5.76

ACTUAL PARAMETERS

Reward Risk Trade Risk
$0.00 $2.42 12.00%
Reason for Opening:

I continue to expect that oil prices will continue to increase as a result of a multiplicity of forces which include a global push to mass adoption of Electric Vehicles as well as clean energy, as well as current geopolitical tensions in the European area. I think the more conservative approach to exposure to increasing oil prices resulting from limiting supply and high demand, using the Oil ETF (Ticker: USO) is probably a more conservative approach. I've decided to gain exposure in this sector in a U.S. Based company that I've had my eye on for quite some time - PHX Minerals. I've decided to take this approach as I believe PHX will generally benefit from the overall increase in oil prices but I am also anticipating the U.S. will ramp up national production and rely less on oil imports in an effort to reduce supply chain constraints that have caused surging price. This is more of an undervalued, opportunistic play for me where I see approx. 200-270% of upside from current prices of 2.40ish to approx. 7.50 - 9.00 per/share. Here's my chart showing the auction zones as I see them on the ThinkorSwim Platform: http://tos.mx/PhFoz4M

LOSS MANAGEMENT PLAN

I will look to close this position if price drops below the 2.05 price level.

PROFIT MANAGEMENT PLAN

I will look to capture profits at the 7.50 price level or before depending on continued monitoring of progress to my overall target.

SYMBOL Strategy Side Effect Qty Expiration Strike Type Price
SPY
Put
Sold
Close
-1
Sep 16, 2022
430.00
Put
30.45 Credit

Target Metrics

Reward Risk R/R Ratio
$41.00 $12.00 3.42

REALIZED RESULTS

P/L ROI
+1.45 5.00%
Reason for Closing:

Closing this position as the market will likely rally pretty hard into the close today and will reopen as appropriate, next week.

SYMBOL Strategy Side Effect Qty Expiration Strike Type Price
SPY
Put
Bought
Open
+1
Sep 16, 2022
430.00
Put
29.00 Debit

Target Metrics

Reward Risk R/R Ratio
$41.00 $12.00 3.42

ACTUAL PARAMETERS

Reward Risk Trade Risk
$401.00 $29.00 12.00%
Reason for Opening:

I am getting more significantly positioned for a fairly substantial broad market correction. Here's shared chart with levels highlight with yellow rectangles: http://tos.mx/GB8FeSh

LOSS MANAGEMENT PLAN

I will look to close this position if price breaks above the 4520 price level, or fails to move back below the 4125 price level within by July 2022.

PROFIT MANAGEMENT PLAN

I will look to capture profits around the 3600 - 2850 price levels in the SPX.

SYMBOL Strategy Side Effect Qty Expiration Strike Type Price
SPY
Put
Sold
Close
-1
Jul 15, 2022
440.00
Put
29.70 Credit

Target Metrics

Reward Risk R/R Ratio
$411.00 $28.60 14.37

REALIZED RESULTS

P/L ROI
+0.70 2.41%
Reason for Closing:

Closing this position as the market will likely rally pretty hard into the close today and will reopen as appropriate, next week.

SYMBOL Strategy Side Effect Qty Expiration Strike Type Price
SPY
Put
Bought
Open
+1
Jul 15, 2022
440.00
Put
29.00 Debit

Target Metrics

Reward Risk R/R Ratio
$411.00 $28.60 14.37

ACTUAL PARAMETERS

Reward Risk Trade Risk
$411.00 $29.00 12.00%
Reason for Opening:

The market appears to be continuing lower which will bring the SPX down to approx. 4160-4100 over the next several weeks. ThinkorSwim Chart: http://tos.mx/G3IpPIR

LOSS MANAGEMENT PLAN

I will look to close this position if price breaks above the high of day on 2/14.

PROFIT MANAGEMENT PLAN

I will look to capture profits around the 4160-4100 price levels in the SPX.

SYMBOL Strategy Side Effect Qty Expiration Strike Type Price
XRX
Stock
Sold
Close
-100
N/A
24.00
Stock
19.30 Credit

Target Metrics

Reward Risk R/R Ratio
$24.00 $3.00 8.00

REALIZED RESULTS

P/L ROI
-4.70 -19.58%
Reason for Closing:

I'm re-deploying this capital to become more significantly aligned with a more significant market correction.

SYMBOL Strategy Side Effect Qty Expiration Strike Type Price
XRX
Stock
Bought
Open
+100
N/A
24.00
Stock
24.00 Debit

Target Metrics

Reward Risk R/R Ratio
$24.00 $3.00 8.00

ACTUAL PARAMETERS

Reward Risk Trade Risk
$0.00 $24.00 10.00%
Reason for Opening:

Let me begin by stating that this position is both a technical and fundamental play. The current technical side of this position is comparable to the price pattern seen between July and November of 2009. XRX has risen strongly into a 20-year auction zone and has been clustering for nearly 6 months at the said zone which can be seen here: http://tos.mx/jgiCJu2. The fundamental play is two-fold. The corporate office has fundamentally changed due to the pandemic. Corporations and their employees were forced to shift from commuting to the office to working remotely. Teams, we able to make this shift rapidly, in part, due to the emerging technologies, like Zoom Meetings, which enabled them to continue to communicate and collaborate. We've all seen Zoom Video (Ticker: ZM) balloon over 850% when the onset of the pandemic began. With many large corporations adopting extended and even permanent work-from-home policies, such as Microsoft, Twitter, Square, Dell, and Amazon to list a few, opportunistic investments that support the home office still have significant growth opportunities. One major inefficiency that continues to be problematic in the shift to the home office is the ability for companies to rapidly distribute documents that require a hard copy. One major example of this inefficiency is seen in the business dealings of the IRS. The Internal Revenue Service receives nearly 3.5 trillion in gross annual revenues via taxes. On average, their customers are issued more than $450 billion in refunds each year. As the case is made in a recent *Washington Post article, which I will include at the bottom of this research, their is a massive backlog of tax returns. As the Post article points out, the agency is dealing with an unprecedented number of broken printers and copiers along with staffing shortages. This backlog is costing both the IRS and taxpayers hundreds of billions of dollars. With the copy room shuttered in corporate offices, thousands of other companies are faced with similar problematic issues of easily distributing hard paper material, where required, to staff and customers. The IRS and other public and private companies will need to repair this inefficiency and it is of my opinion that Xerox Holdings Corporation (Ticker: XRX) is perfectly positioned to be a major supplier of the solution. RESOURCES: - XRX Chart: http://tos.mx/qk2UJPv Washington Post Article: https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2021/05/11/tax-refund-delays-irs-printers-ink/

LOSS MANAGEMENT PLAN

As the equity rises into historic auction zones where price is likely to stall, and or retrace, I will strategically use short calls to both reduce the original risk outlayed in this position and collect income against the core equity holding.

PROFIT MANAGEMENT PLAN

In addition to strategically using short calls to collect income against the core equity holding. I will seek to hold the equity as a long term growth position and will look to rebalance my portfolio by closing the equity position at the higher historical auction zone which puts the stock between $55-60 per/share depending on the duration it takes for the equity to rise to that level.

SYMBOL Strategy Side Effect Qty Expiration Strike Type Price
SPY
Put
Bought
Close
+1
Apr 14, 2022
440.00
Put
15.99 Debit

Target Metrics

Reward Risk R/R Ratio
$15.62 $1.00 15.62

REALIZED RESULTS

P/L ROI
-0.37 -0.09%
Reason for Closing:

Removing these short puts as I see yesterday and today simply testing the previous multi-month support after breaking lower on Wednesday and will likely continue lower next week. Just holding long puts at this point in SPY.

SYMBOL Strategy Side Effect Qty Expiration Strike Type Price
SPY
Put
Sold
Open
-1
Apr 14, 2022
440.00
Put
15.62 Credit

Target Metrics

Reward Risk R/R Ratio
$15.62 $1.00 15.62

ACTUAL PARAMETERS

Reward Risk Trade Risk
$15.62 $424.38 12.00%
Reason for Opening:

ADJUSTMENT 02/24/2022 @ 1:17 AM ET: I am rolling these short puts out from 4 MAR 2022 out, all the way to 14 APR 2022 as the near term is highly vulnerable to extreme volatility and I am able to receive an additional 5.75 of credit which puts my current net credit at 15.62 and removes the risk of early assignment on these puts with price trading significantly below the 440 price level in the SPY. ================================================== ADJUSTMENT 02/22/2022 @ 10:50am ET: In anticipation of a short term test of the 4250 price level in the SPX, I've gone ahead and rolled this position out to the 4 MAR 2022 expiration and was able to do so for an additional credit of 3.62 which brings my net credit up to 9.87. I do anticipate the market to rally in the near term following a test of the 4250 price level. ================================================ Volume was extremely light on this selloff today, based on what I'm seeing right now, I expect the /ES will bounce up to approx. 4500 before reversing lower. I'm adding this short put to hedge against my long puts. ThinkorSwim Chart: http://tos.mx/bclTju0

LOSS MANAGEMENT PLAN

I will continue to roll/manage this position.

PROFIT MANAGEMENT PLAN

I will continue to roll/manage this position as long as I'm able to do so for further credit.

SYMBOL Strategy Side Effect Qty Expiration Strike Type Price
SPY
Call
Sold
Close
-1
May 20, 2022
435.00
Call
10.79 Credit

Target Metrics

Reward Risk R/R Ratio
$30.00 $5.00 6.00

REALIZED RESULTS

P/L ROI
-7.31 -40.39%
Reason for Closing:

Switching this risk capital to the other side of the options chain as I see a fairly precipitous drop over the next 3-7 days in the S&P 500 as more information comes out regarding the Kremlin's intension's following the initial invasion of Ukraine by Russia and various consequences announced by NATA and UN nations.

SYMBOL Strategy Side Effect Qty Expiration Strike Type Price
SPY
Call
Bought
Open
+1
May 20, 2022
435.00
Call
18.10 Debit

Target Metrics

Reward Risk R/R Ratio
$30.00 $5.00 6.00

ACTUAL PARAMETERS

Reward Risk Trade Risk
$0.00 $18.10 10.00%
Reason for Opening:

This is a tough move to make with the geopolitical tensions swirling, but there is a very strong technical support that we just came in to. The whole Russia/Ukraine tension has been the headline excuse to justify the move lower over the past week and a half. Any amount of positive news regarding deescalation between Russia & Ukraine and it will be excuse to rally and move back towards the 4675 price level. Here's the chart with the 20 year zones with yellow rectangles highlighting the thesis that is behind executing this position: http://tos.mx/bOWgiMd

LOSS MANAGEMENT PLAN

I will look to close this position if price appears to be breaking below the 4300 price level.

PROFIT MANAGEMENT PLAN

I will look to capture profits when the SPX is around the 4625 price level.

SYMBOL Strategy Side Effect Qty Expiration Strike Type Price
AMZN
Bull Put
Bought
Close
+1
Mar 4, 2022
3035.00
Put
Sold
Close
-1
Mar 4, 2022
3025.00
Put
5.25 Debit

Target Metrics

Reward Risk R/R Ratio
$4.25 $2.00 2.12

REALIZED RESULTS

P/L ROI
-1.00 -17.39%
Reason for Closing:

Closing this position until more clarity on overall near-term direction of markets.

SYMBOL Strategy Side Effect Qty Expiration Strike Type Price
AMZN
Bull Put
Sold
Open
-1
Mar 4, 2022
3035.00
Put
Bought
Open
+1
Mar 4, 2022
3025.00
Put
4.25 Credit

Target Metrics

Reward Risk R/R Ratio
$4.25 $2.00 2.12

ACTUAL PARAMETERS

Reward Risk Trade Risk
$4.25 $5.75 5.00%
Reason for Opening:

I expect AMZN to bounce approx. 10% from lows of 02/18 to around the 3310 price level over the next several weeks. Here's the chart: http://tos.mx/A8Hc7kO

LOSS MANAGEMENT PLAN

I will look to close this position if AMZN fails to hold the 3000 price level

PROFIT MANAGEMENT PLAN

I will let this position expire worthless.

SYMBOL Strategy Side Effect Qty Expiration Strike Type Price
LCID
Call
Bought
Close
+1
May 13, 2022
20.00
Call
8.00 Debit

Target Metrics

Reward Risk R/R Ratio
$9.45 $0.10 94.50

REALIZED RESULTS

P/L ROI
+1.45 Unlmt
Reason for Closing:

I'm expecting LCID to hold the 25.50 - 26.00 price level in the near term and so I'm closing this position and leaving my long stock. ThinkorSwim Chart: http://tos.mx/pZozqdd

SYMBOL Strategy Side Effect Qty Expiration Strike Type Price
LCID
Call
Sold
Open
-1
May 13, 2022
20.00
Call
9.45 Credit

Target Metrics

Reward Risk R/R Ratio
$9.45 $0.10 94.50

ACTUAL PARAMETERS

Reward Risk Trade Risk
9.45 $0.00 0.10%
Reason for Opening:

The overall market is showing signs of a pending collapse that brings the SPX down to approx. 3700 - 3400 and will drag down LCID with it to somewhere at or below $20 per/share. I'm adding a fairly aggressive collar trade to this position as it's a sizeable part of my zones portfolio and unnecessary to ride the stock down another 30% without protecting against further downside. I have sold an equal number of contracts of short calls as I hold stock (i.e. 1 contract for every 100 shares of stock I own). Here is the chart of LCID: http://tos.mx/YnVsTWB

LOSS MANAGEMENT PLAN

I will roll this position out if the drop to 20 has not occurred and we are within 30 days of the position expiring.

PROFIT MANAGEMENT PLAN

I will look to capture profits on these short calls around the 18-20 price level.

SYMBOL Strategy Side Effect Qty Expiration Strike Type Price
LCID
Put
Sold
Close
-1
Jun 17, 2022
30.00
Put
8.25 Credit

Target Metrics

Reward Risk R/R Ratio
$10.00 $2.00 5.00

REALIZED RESULTS

P/L ROI
+1.00 13.79%
Reason for Closing:

I'm expecting LCID to hold the 25.50 - 26.00 price level in the near term and so I'm closing this position and leaving my long stock. ThinkorSwim Chart: http://tos.mx/pZozqdd

SYMBOL Strategy Side Effect Qty Expiration Strike Type Price
LCID
Put
Bought
Open
+1
Jun 17, 2022
30.00
Put
7.25 Debit

Target Metrics

Reward Risk R/R Ratio
$10.00 $2.00 5.00

ACTUAL PARAMETERS

Reward Risk Trade Risk
$22.75 $7.25 0.10%
Reason for Opening:

The overall market is showing signs of a pending collapse that brings the SPX down to approx. 3700 - 3400 and will drag down LCID with it to somewhere at or below $20 per/share. I'm adding a fairly aggressive collar trade to this position as it's a sizeable part of my zones portfolio and unnecessary to ride the stock down another 30% without protecting against further downside. I have purchased an equal number of contracts of long puts as I hold stock (i.e. 1 contract for every 100 shares of stock I own). Here is the chart of LCID: http://tos.mx/YnVsTWB

LOSS MANAGEMENT PLAN

I will close/role this position out if the drop to 20 has not occurred and we are within 30 days of the position expiring.

PROFIT MANAGEMENT PLAN

I will look to capture profits on these long puts around the 18-20 price level.

SYMBOL Strategy Side Effect Qty Expiration Strike Type Price
JPM
Call
Bought
Close
+1
Jan 20, 2023
155.00
Call
13.95 Debit

Target Metrics

Reward Risk R/R Ratio
$15.55 $0.10 155.50

REALIZED RESULTS

P/L ROI
+1.60 Unlmt
Reason for Closing:

JPM appears to be bottoming temporarily and will likely surge up to approx. the 165 price level. I am closing out my bearish protective instruments for now and will reassess as the situation develops.

SYMBOL Strategy Side Effect Qty Expiration Strike Type Price
JPM
Call
Sold
Open
-1
Jan 20, 2023
155.00
Call
15.55 Credit

Target Metrics

Reward Risk R/R Ratio
$15.55 $0.10 155.50

ACTUAL PARAMETERS

Reward Risk Trade Risk
15.55 $0.00 0.10%
Reason for Opening:

***CORRECTION - Ticker showed LCID on this one, should have shown JPM, as well as an expiration of 01/20/2023 (That's what I get for cloning an existing position in my logs and not changing each section)**** The overall market is showing signs of a pending collapse that brings the SPX down to approx. 3700 - 3400 and will drag down JPM with it to somewhere around $108.50 per/share, which also happens to be a MAJOR gap that has gone unfilled from Nov 2020. As I don't hold the shares, but am holding LEAPS Long Calls, by adding these Short Calls and Long Puts, I've created what is referred to as a synthetic collar trade that will actually have me profitable as it drops and if it doesn't I can remove the Long Puts & Short Calls and continue to hold the LEAPS Long Calls for further upside reward. I have sold an equal number of contracts of short calls as I hold LEAPS Long Calls (i.e. 1 contract for every 1 contract of LEAPS Long Calls I own). Here is the chart of JPM: http://tos.mx/zi608aR

LOSS MANAGEMENT PLAN

I will look to close this position if the price of JPM rises above the 165 price level before the move down to 108.50 has occurred.

PROFIT MANAGEMENT PLAN

I will look to capture profits on these short calls around the 116 - 110 price levels.

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